Experience has taught me that.
I have seen, over the years, what happens to novices taking on experienced high class horses in the Gold Cup; put plainly, it knackers them up.
In Thistlecrack’s case it came before the Gold Cup, last month, against the legend Many Clouds.
I know that the horse is injured but it is too much of a coincidence after that tremendous duel which cost the winner its life.
Look at Coneygree, the recent winner of the Gold Cup and first novice to win it since Captain Christy in 1974; the horse isn’t the beast that it was. Captain Christy only lasted one more season although he did beat the likes of Pendil and Bula in two KG’s after. The running of the brilliant novice Drumadowney (finished 4th) finally convinced me of this theory.
Thistlecrack in the Gold Cup against the likes of Native River and Cue Card would have warranted a good LAY. The Many Clouds affair may well have done the horse a favour in giving the horse the rest of the season off, that is, of course, if he hasn’t already met his Waterloo!
This Saturday’s racing is difficult and no point wasting money for the sake of it.
Two short priced winners last week Cue Card/Yanworth was good enough for me out of the two selected although I consider Yanworth a lay in the Champion Hurdle.
Talking of Cheltenham an On The Fringe/Unowhatimeanharry double looks a great bet at 11/2.